LOW · Consumer Discretionary
Lowe's
5 public Kalshi markets tied to Home Improvement Retail exposure.
Public Kalshi markets
01Company KPI
Will U.S. new home sales for April 2026 be above 680,000?
US new-home-sales operating-demand marker.
52%51¢ / 53¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.05.28
02Demand cycle
Will there be a U.S. recession in 2026?
Broad demand-cycle marker.
21.5%21¢ / 22¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2027.01.31
03Rates
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury par yield for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?
Long-rate and balance-sheet marker.
50.5%3¢ / 98¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTCWide quote2026.06.30
04Tariff escalation
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on July 1, 2026?
China tariff-rate supply-chain marker.
66.5%64¢ / 69¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.07.01
05Mortgage Rates
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
30-year mortgage-rate financing-demand marker.
45.5%40¢ / 51¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2027.01.01
Exposure context
Lowe's's five markets cover demand cycle, trade and supply chain, and rates backdrop. The traditional-market references below are context for how investors usually express those exposures; they are not claims about company hedging activity.
Traditional-market contextinterest-rate swaps / capssingle-name equity optionssector ETF overlays
Company-level context only, not a claim about trading activity.