Hedgebook
As of 2026.06.14
KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26MAY-T4.350%0¢ / 100¢KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.0050%0¢ / 100¢KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T7000072%67¢ / 77¢KXRECSSNBER-2614.5%14¢ / 15¢KXNEWOUTBREAK-P-267.5%7¢ / 8¢KXNATGASD-26JUN0117-T3.20050%0¢ / 100¢KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-1492%90¢ / 94¢KXWTI-26MAY14-T101.9950%0¢ / 100¢KXHURCTOT-26DEC01-T650%47¢ / 53¢KXWTIW-26MAY15-T101.9950%0¢ / 100¢KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T419%14¢ / 24¢KXH200MON-26MAY31-2.73050%0¢ / 100¢
Markets

Kalshi market index

All 49 public market pages referenced by Hedgebook.

Markets referenced
KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26MAY-T4.3Inflation

May CPI year-over-year

500 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCWide quoteresolved no2026.06.10KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.00Rates

30-year Treasury yield > 4.00%

500 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTCWide quoteactive2026.06.30KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T70000Demand cycle

July payrolls > 70k

490 companies referenced

72%67¢ / 77¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.08.07KXRECSSNBER-26Demand cycle

U.S. recession in 2026

455 companies referenced

14.5%14¢ / 15¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.31KXNEWOUTBREAK-P-26Public health event

Pandemic in 2026

364 companies referenced

7.5%7¢ / 8¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXNATGASD-26JUN0117-T3.200Natural gas

Natural gas close > $3.200

34 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCWide quoteresolved no2026.06.01KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-14Tariff escalation

China tariff 10-19.99%

21 companies referenced

92%90¢ / 94¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.07.01KXWTI-26MAY14-T101.99Crude oil

WTI May 14 close > $101.99

19 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTCWide quoteresolved no2026.05.14KXHURCTOT-26DEC01-T6Hurricanes

Atlantic hurricanes > 6

12 companies referenced

50%47¢ / 53¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.12.02KXWTIW-26MAY15-T101.99Crude oil

WTI settlement > $101.99

12 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTCWide quoteresolved yes2026.05.15KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T4Hurricanes

Major Atlantic hurricanes > 4

10 companies referenced

19%14¢ / 24¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.12.02KXH200MON-26MAY31-2.730GPU compute

H200 compute price > $2.73

9 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCWide quoteresolved yes2026.06.01KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01Geopolitical conflict

Taiwan Level 4 warning

9 companies referenced

9.5%9¢ / 10¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXMORTGAGERATE-26DEC-T6.8Mortgage Rates

30-year mortgage rate high > 6.80%

7 companies referenced

43%39¢ / 47¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXNGASMAX-26DEC31-P7.00Natural gas

Natural gas trades > $7.00

7 companies referenced

22%8¢ / 36¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXNHSALES-26MAY28-T680Company KPI

New home sales > 680k

7 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCWide quoteresolved no2026.05.28KXCOPPERD-26JUN0117-T6.50Industrial metals

Copper close > $6.50/lb

5 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCWide quoteresolved yes2026.06.01KXEHSALES-26JUN09-T4.00Company KPI

Existing home sales > 4.00m

5 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCWide quoteresolved yes2026.06.09KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01AI model release

OpenAI GPT-6 before Oct. 2026

2 companies referenced

48.5%46¢ / 51¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.10.01KXNATGASMON-26MAY2917-T2.999Natural gas

Natural gas close > $2.999

2 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCWide quoteresolved yes2026.05.29KXWTI-26MAY13-T101.99Crude oil

WTI May 13 close > $101.99

2 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTCWide quoteresolved no2026.05.13AMAZONFTC-29DEC31Antitrust

Amazon antitrust ruling

1 companies referenced

49.5%46¢ / 53¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2030.01.01KXAAPLCEOCHANGE-26CEO change

Tim Cook leaves Apple

1 companies referenced

94%93¢ / 95¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.02KXACQUANNOUNCEPINS-27JAN01-AMAZPINTM&A regulatory

Amazon / Pinterest acquisition

1 companies referenced

3.5%1¢ / 6¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXACQUANNOUNCEPINS-27JAN01-GOOGPINTM&A regulatory

Google / Pinterest acquisition

1 companies referenced

3%2¢ / 4¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXACQUANNOUNCEPINS-27JAN01-METAPINTM&A regulatory

Meta / Pinterest acquisition

1 companies referenced

5.5%4¢ / 7¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXBA-26JULDELIV-160Company KPI

Boeing Q2 deliveries > 160

1 companies referenced

69.5%62¢ / 77¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.08.27KXCCL-26JUNALBD-24600000.0Company KPI

Carnival Q2 berth days > 24.6m

1 companies referenced

87.5%84¢ / 91¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.07.23KXCOST-26MAYCARDS-149000000.0Company KPI

Costco cardholders > 149m

1 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCWide quoteresolved no2026.05.28KXF-26JULUSSALES-500000Company KPI

Ford Q2 U.S. sales > 500k

1 companies referenced

86.5%84¢ / 89¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.08.28KXFDX-26JUNADV-17400000.0Company KPI

FedEx average daily volume > 17.4m

1 companies referenced

66%64¢ / 68¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.07.23KXGOLDD-26JUN0217-T4459Precious metals

Gold close > $4459/oz

1 companies referenced

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCWide quoteresolved yes2026.06.02KXJPMCEONEW-30-MLCEO change

Marianne Lake as JPMorgan CEO

1 companies referenced

41%37¢ / 45¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2030.01.01KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-BOAIPO timing

BofA takes Kraken public

1 companies referenced

45.5%41¢ / 50¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-CITIIPO timing

Citi takes Kraken public

1 companies referenced

42.5%39¢ / 46¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-GSIPO timing

Goldman takes Kraken public

1 companies referenced

34.5%30¢ / 39¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-JPMIPO timing

JPMorgan takes Kraken public

1 companies referenced

36.5%32¢ / 41¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-MSIPO timing

Morgan Stanley takes Kraken public

1 companies referenced

42%38¢ / 46¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXLLAMA5-27AI model release

Meta Llama 5 before 2027

1 companies referenced

17.5%15¢ / 20¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.01.01KXLLM1-26DEC31-GOOGAI model release

Top AI model in Dec. 2026

1 companies referenced

12.6%12¢ / 13¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.12.31KXLUV-26JULFARE-231Company KPI

Southwest Q2 fare > $231

1 companies referenced

42%38¢ / 46¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.08.21KXNEWROLEGS-35DEC-MMCCEO change

Next Goldman Sachs CEO

1 companies referenced

3%1¢ / 5¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2035.12.31KXPM-26JULZYNSHIP-190000000Company KPI

Philip Morris Zyn shipments > 190m

1 companies referenced

63.5%61¢ / 66¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2026.08.20KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-NFLXM&A regulatory

Netflix / Warner takeover

1 companies referenced

2.5%2¢ / 3¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:25 UTCactive2027.07.01KXTESLAENERGYBY-27-15Company KPI

Tesla energy growth before 2027

1 companies referenced

64%61¢ / 67¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTCactive2027.04.01KXTSLA-26JULPROD-440000.0Company KPI

Tesla Inc. Q2 production > 440k

1 companies referenced

48%46¢ / 50¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTCactive2026.08.21KXUAL-26JULPAX-48000000.0Company KPI

United Q2 passengers > 48m

1 companies referenced

42.5%40¢ / 45¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTCactive2026.08.14KXUBERTRIPS-26JUL-3.95BILLIONCompany KPI

Uber Q2 trips > 3.95b

1 companies referenced

55.5%52¢ / 59¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTCactive2026.08.01OAIAGI-29AI model release

OpenAI AGI announcement

1 companies referenced

44.4%43¢ / 46¢Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTCactive2030.01.01