MPC · Energy
Marathon Petroleum
5 public Kalshi markets tied to Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing exposure.
Public Kalshi markets
01Natural gas
Will natural gas trade above $4.50/MMBtu before January 1, 2027?
Natural-gas price marker.
50.5%2¢ / 99¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTCWide quote2027.01.01
02Inflation
CPI year-over-year for May 2026
Inflation and input-cost marker.
22%18¢ / 26¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.06.10
03Rates
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury par yield for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?
Long-rate and balance-sheet marker.
50.5%3¢ / 98¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTCWide quote2026.06.30
04Crude oil
Will WTI front-month settlement be above $101.99 on May 15, 2026?
WTI crude price marker.
56%55¢ / 57¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.05.15
05Demand cycle
Will there be a U.S. recession in 2026?
Broad demand-cycle marker.
21.5%21¢ / 22¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2027.01.31
Exposure context
Marathon Petroleum's five markets cover input costs, rates backdrop, and event shocks. The traditional-market references below are context for how investors usually express those exposures; they are not claims about company hedging activity.
Traditional-market contextcommodity futures / swaps / optionssupplier pricing contractspass-through mechanisms
Company-level context only, not a claim about trading activity.