UAL · Industrials
United Airlines Holdings
5 public Kalshi markets tied to Passenger Airlines exposure.
Public Kalshi markets
01Company KPI
Will United Airlines report above 47 million passengers in Q2 2026?
United passenger KPI.
51.5%48¢ / 55¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.08.14
02Crude oil
Will WTI front-month settlement be above $101.99 on May 15, 2026?
WTI crude price input-cost marker.
56%55¢ / 57¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.05.15
03Demand cycle
Will there be a U.S. recession in 2026?
Broad demand-cycle marker.
21.5%21¢ / 22¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2027.01.31
04Rates
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury par yield for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?
Long-rate and balance-sheet marker.
50.5%3¢ / 98¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTCWide quote2026.06.30
05Inflation
CPI year-over-year for May 2026
Inflation and input-cost marker.
22%18¢ / 26¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.06.10
Exposure context
United Airlines Holdings's five markets cover company metrics, input costs, demand cycle, rates backdrop, and event shocks. The traditional-market references below are context for how investors usually express those exposures; they are not claims about company hedging activity.
Traditional-market contextjet-fuel derivativescommodity futures / swaps / optionsfuel surcharge / pass-through mechanisms
Company-level context only, not a claim about trading activity.