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Category note · AI model release

OpenAI AGI announcement

Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI?

Resolves on 2030.01.01. The market trades at 44.4% as of 2026.06.14 — splitting roughly even. Nvidia (NVDA) carries the linked S&P 500 exposure.

Open on Kalshi
Quote history
2026.06.01Daily mid, last 3 sessions2026.06.14
Linked S&P 500
NVDANvidia
Market map

Referenced companies by sector

1 companies shown · 0 more referenced

Market · AI model release

OpenAI AGI announcement

44.4%Current Kalshi probability
Ticker
OAIAGI-29
Quote
43¢ / 46¢
Status
Active
Resolution
2030.01.01
As of
Quote as of 2026.06.14 09:26 UTC

Information Technology

1 referenced
NVDA$5.37T
Companies referenced
NVDA

Nvidia

Nvidia is included because AI model-release timing can affect infrastructure demand, software positioning, and cloud capacity.

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