August existing-home sales above 4.00 million
49.5%Current Kalshi probability
- Ticker
- KXEHSALES-26SEP10-T4.00
- Quote
- 46¢ / 53¢
- Status
- Active
- Resolution
- 2026.09.17
- As of
- Quote as of 2026.08.18 13:33 UTC
Core reference market · Demand Volume
August existing-home sales above 4.00 million
Will US existing home sales for August 2026 be above 4.00M?
Resolves on 2026.09.17. The market trades at 49.5% as of 2026.08.18 — splitting roughly even. Linked to 5 S&P 500 names: BLDR, DHI, LEN, NVR, PHM.
Settlement variable and source
If US existing home sales for August 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, millions of homes) is above 4.00M, then the market resolves to Yes.
View Kalshi contract rulesMarket map
Referenced companies by sector
5 companies shown · 0 more referenced
Issuer-specific core · 5
D. R. Horton
D. R. Horton's 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US existing home sales for August 2026 be above 4.00M? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-07-23PulteGroup
PulteGroup's 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US existing home sales for August 2026 be above 4.00M? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-07-22Lennar
Lennar's 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US existing home sales for August 2026 be above 4.00M? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-06-29NVR, Inc.
NVR, Inc.'s 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US existing home sales for August 2026 be above 4.00M? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-08-05Builders FirstSource
Builders FirstSource's 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US existing home sales for August 2026 be above 4.00M? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-07-30