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Category note · AI model release

OpenAI GPT-6 before Oct. 2026

Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Oct 1, 2026?

Resolves on 2026.10.01. The market trades at 56.5% as of 2026.06.02 — splitting roughly even. Linked to 2 S&P 500 names: MSFT, ORCL.

Open on Kalshi
Linked S&P 500
MSFTMicrosoftORCLOracle Corporation
Market map

Referenced companies by sector

2 companies shown · 0 more referenced

Market · AI model release

OpenAI GPT-6 before Oct. 2026

56.5%Current Kalshi probability
Ticker
KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01
Quote
54¢ / 59¢
Status
Active
Resolution
2026.10.01
As of
Quote as of 2026.06.02 20:27 UTC

Information Technology

2 referenced
MSFT$3.03TORCL$537.3B
Companies referenced
MSFT

Microsoft

Microsoft is included because AI model-release timing can affect infrastructure demand, software positioning, and cloud capacity.

$3.03TOpen company dossier →ORCL

Oracle Corporation

Oracle Corporation is included because AI model-release timing can affect infrastructure demand, software positioning, and cloud capacity.

$537.3BOpen company dossier →