July new-home sales above 680,000
18.5%Current Kalshi probability
- Ticker
- KXNHSALES-26AUG25-T680000
- Quote
- 17¢ / 20¢
- Status
- Active
- Resolution
- 2026.09.01
- As of
- Quote as of 2026.08.18 13:33 UTC
Core reference market · Demand Volume
July new-home sales above 680,000
Will US new home sales for July 2026 be above 680,000?
Resolves on 2026.09.01. The market trades at 18.5% as of 2026.08.18 — implying low odds the answer is yes. Linked to 6 S&P 500 names including BLDR, DHI, HD, LEN, NVR.
Settlement variable and source
If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for July 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 680,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
View Kalshi contract rulesMarket map
Referenced companies by sector
6 companies shown · 0 more referenced
Issuer-specific core · 6
Home Depot (The)
Home Depot (The)'s 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US new home sales for July 2026 be above 680,000? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-05-27D. R. Horton
D. R. Horton's 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US new home sales for July 2026 be above 680,000? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-07-23PulteGroup
PulteGroup's 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US new home sales for July 2026 be above 680,000? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-07-22Lennar
Lennar's 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US new home sales for July 2026 be above 680,000? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-06-29NVR, Inc.
NVR, Inc.'s 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US new home sales for July 2026 be above 680,000? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-08-05Builders FirstSource
Builders FirstSource's 10-Q discusses a named issuer operating measure; Will US new home sales for July 2026 be above 680,000? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-07-30