Hedgebook
Edition 2026.08.18
KXBA-26OCTDELIV-1869.5%5¢ / 14¢KXCCL-26SEPALBD-25200000.08.5%5¢ / 12¢KXCOPPERD-26AUG1817-T6.880.5%0¢ / 1¢KXEHSALES-26SEP10-T4.0049.5%46¢ / 53¢KXF-26OCTUSSALES-50000046.5%42¢ / 51¢KXGOLDD-26AUG1817-T435591%89¢ / 93¢KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT0129%26¢ / 32¢KXH200MON-26AUG31-6.3208%2¢ / 14¢KXHURCTOT-26DEC01-T613.5%11¢ / 16¢KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T410%6¢ / 14¢KXLLAMA5-277%6¢ / 8¢KXLUV-26OCTFARE-21089.5%88¢ / 91¢
Core reference market · Demand Volume

Tesla Q3 production above 440,000

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 440000 total production in Q3 2026?

Resolves on 2027.01.30. The market trades at 93.5% as of 2026.08.18 — implying high consensus the answer is yes. Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) carries the linked S&P 500 exposure.

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Settlement variable and source

If Tesla Inc. reports Above 440000 total production in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Linked S&P 500
TSLATesla, Inc.
Market map

Referenced companies by sector

1 companies shown · 0 more referenced

Market · Demand Volume

Tesla Q3 production above 440,000

93.5%Current Kalshi probability
Ticker
KXTSLA-26OCTPROD-440000
Quote
92¢ / 95¢
Status
Active
Resolution
2027.01.30
As of
Quote as of 2026.08.18 13:33 UTC

Consumer Discretionary

1 referenced
TSLA$1.63T
Issuer-specific core · 1