KXBA-26OCTDELIV-1869.5%5¢ / 14¢KXCCL-26SEPALBD-25200000.08.5%5¢ / 12¢KXCOPPERD-26AUG1817-T6.880.5%0¢ / 1¢KXEHSALES-26SEP10-T4.0049.5%46¢ / 53¢KXF-26OCTUSSALES-50000046.5%42¢ / 51¢KXGOLDD-26AUG1817-T435591%89¢ / 93¢KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT0129%26¢ / 32¢KXH200MON-26AUG31-6.3208%2¢ / 14¢KXHURCTOT-26DEC01-T613.5%11¢ / 16¢KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T410%6¢ / 14¢KXLLAMA5-277%6¢ / 8¢KXLUV-26OCTFARE-21089.5%88¢ / 91¢
Core reference market · Input Cost

Natural gas above $3/MMBtu on Aug. 19, 2026

Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on August 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Resolves on 2026.08.19. The market trades at 48.5% as of 2026.08.18 — splitting roughly even. Linked to 25 S&P 500 names including AEE, AEP, AES, ATO, AWK.

Settlement variable and source

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDU6 contract on August 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Referenced companies by sector

12 companies shown · 13 more referenced

Market · Input Cost

Natural gas above $3/MMBtu on Aug. 19, 2026

48.5%Current Kalshi probability
Ticker
KXNATGASD-26AUG1917-T3
Quote
0¢ / 97¢
Status
Active
Resolution
2026.08.19
As of
Quote as of 2026.08.18 13:33 UTC

Utilities

17 referenced

Energy

8 referenced
Issuer-specific core · 25