Natural gas closes above $3/MMBtu on Aug. 26, 2026
48.5%Current Kalshi probability
- Ticker
- KXNATGASD-26AUG2617-T3
- Quote
- 0¢ / 97¢
- Status
- Active
- Resolution
- 2026.08.26
- As of
- Quote as of 2026.08.25 17:38 UTC
Core reference market · Input Cost
Natural gas closes above $3/MMBtu on Aug. 26, 2026
Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on August 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Resolves on 2026.08.26. The market trades at 48.5% as of 2026.08.25 — splitting roughly even. Linked to 6 S&P 500 names including EOG, LNT, MPC, PEG, PSX.
Settlement variable and source
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDV6 contract on August 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
View Kalshi contract rulesMarket map
Referenced companies by sector
6 companies shown · 0 more referenced
Issuer-specific core · 6
Marathon Petroleum
Marathon Petroleum's 10-Q proves direct commodity purchases and operating input costs; Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on August 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-08-04Valero Energy
Valero Energy's 10-Q proves direct commodity purchases and operating input costs; Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on August 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-07-30EOG Resources
EOG Resources's 10-Q proves commodity realized pricing and producer revenue; Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on August 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-08-04Phillips 66
Phillips 66's 10-Q proves direct commodity purchases and operating input costs; Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on August 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-08-05Public Service Enterprise Group
Public Service Enterprise Group's 10-Q proves direct commodity purchases and operating input costs; Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on August 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-08-04Alliant Energy
Alliant Energy's 10-Q proves direct commodity purchases and operating input costs; Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on August 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? records the corresponding contract state.
10-Q source · 2026-07-31