Hedgebook
Edition 2026.08.18
KXBA-26OCTDELIV-1869.5%5¢ / 14¢KXCCL-26SEPALBD-25200000.08.5%5¢ / 12¢KXCOPPERD-26AUG1817-T6.880.5%0¢ / 1¢KXEHSALES-26SEP10-T4.0049.5%46¢ / 53¢KXF-26OCTUSSALES-50000046.5%42¢ / 51¢KXGOLDD-26AUG1817-T435591%89¢ / 93¢KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT0129%26¢ / 32¢KXH200MON-26AUG31-6.3208%2¢ / 14¢KXHURCTOT-26DEC01-T613.5%11¢ / 16¢KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T410%6¢ / 14¢KXLLAMA5-277%6¢ / 8¢KXLUV-26OCTFARE-21089.5%88¢ / 91¢
Core reference market · Demand Volume

United Q3 passengers above 49.5 million

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 49.5 million passengers in Q3 2026?

Resolves on 2027.02.12. The market trades at 80.5% as of 2026.08.18 — implying high consensus the answer is yes. United Airlines Holdings (UAL) carries the linked S&P 500 exposure.

Open on KalshiFind operating businesses in Scout
Settlement variable and source

If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 49500000.0 passengers in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

View Kalshi contract rules
Linked S&P 500
UALUnited Airlines Holdings
Market map

Referenced companies by sector

1 companies shown · 0 more referenced

Market · Demand Volume

United Q3 passengers above 49.5 million

80.5%Current Kalshi probability
Ticker
KXUAL-26OCTPAX-49500000.0
Quote
77¢ / 84¢
Status
Active
Resolution
2027.02.12
As of
Quote as of 2026.08.18 13:33 UTC

Industrials

1 referenced
UAL$31.1B
Issuer-specific core · 1